Buffalo, N.Y. Rated Most Affordable Major U.S. Housing Market

Ohio dominates the Top10 list of most affordable metro areas. Also, new home sales set July record.

The metropolitan statistical area comprising Buffalo and Niagara Falls, N.Y. is the nation’s most affordable housing market among major metros with populations over 500,000, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI) for the second quarter of 2005.

NEW HOME SALES SET RECORD PACE IN JULY 

    The sales pace of newly built single-family homes increased 6.5 percent for the month to a record seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.410 million units in July, the U.S. Commerce Department reported today. The rate was 27.7 percent above the July sales pace of a year ago.
     
    “It is clear that the demand for new homes remains strong, but it should be noted that the Commerce Department’s estimates of monthly home sales are subject to a high degree of sampling variability as well as to substantial revision, especially on a regional basis,” said National Association of Home Builders Chief Economist David Seiders.
     
    Two of four regions across the country posted increased sales of new homes in July. Sales in the Northeast were up 10.1 percent and sales in West jumped 36 percent from the month before. Sales in the South were down 3.5 percent and sales in the Midwest dropped 13.5 percent.
     
    “Today’s report on new homes sales is stronger than other housing data for July, including the report on sales of existing homes and NAHB’s Housing Market Index that’s based on our surveys of single-family home builders,” Seiders noted. “Indeed, existing-home sales edged down in July and the component of our builders’ survey that measures current sales activity moved down a bit in both July and early August.
     
    “More data obviously will be required to determine the true direction of the housing market for the remainder of the summer months,” Seiders added.

Also near the top of the affordability scale among major metros with populations over 500,000 were Indianapolis, Ind.; Dayton, Ohio, and the area encompassing Youngstown, Warren and Boardman, Ohio, in that order.

Ohio scored the greatest number of major metros on the top-10 list, with a total of four (including Dayton, Youngstown, Toledo and Akron). The state also had three of the 10 most affordable metro areas with populations under 500,000, including Mansfield, Lima and the area comprising Canton and Massillon, Ohio.

Overall housing affordability across the United States fell for the second consecutive quarter, dipping 4.2 points to 45.9 on the HOI – meaning that approximately 46 percent of new and existing homes sold in the second quarter were affordable to median-income families. This decline was mostly attributable to a 7 percent gain in the average price of homes sold in the year’s second quarter versus the first quarter.

One very positive factor was favorable interest rates, which continued to fuel prospects for homeownership in the second quarter,” noted Dave Wilson, a custom home builder and NAHB president. “That said, housing affordability is increasingly an issue in markets nationwide, and local governments should do all they can to keep fees and regulations from adding too much to the cost of homes.”

In the most affordable major metro area of Buffalo-Niagara Falls, nearly 90 percent of new and existing homes sold during the second quarter were affordable to families making the area’s median income of $57,000. The median price of homes that sold in Buffalo during the second quarter was just $75,000.

Meanwhile, in Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, Calif. – the least affordable major metro with 500,000 or more people – just 3.6 percent of all homes sold were affordable to those making the median income of $54,500 when the median sales price was $461,000.
 
California once again was the least affordable state overall, with eight out of 10 metros on the least affordable list among markets with over 500,000 people and nine out of 10 metros on the list for markets under 500,000.

NOTES: Due to recent changes in the way that the federal government defines metropolitan statistical areas, some metros previously ranked by the HOI may have been absorbed into other metros and not have their own individual rankings. To find out where each city included in the HOI now falls, visit www.nahb.org/hoi and click on “New Metropolitan Statistical Area Definitions.”

The NAHB/Wells Fargo HOI is a measure of the percentage of homes sold in a given area that are affordable to families earning that area’s median income during a specific quarter. This is a reinvention of the popular NAHB affordability index that was discontinued after the first quarter of 2002 due to budgetary constraints. While similar to the earlier HOI, the index now incorporates newly revised HUD data for household income, which was previously underestimated in some markets, and revised property tax and insurance data in several metro markets. Prices of new and existing homes sold are collected from actual court records by First American Real Estate Solutions, a marketing company. Mortgage financing conditions incorporate interest rates on fixed- and adjustable-rate loans reported by the Federal Housing Finance Board.

The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index is strictly the product of NAHB Economics, and is not seen or influenced by any outside party prior to being released to the public. Please visit www.nahb.org/hoi for tables, historic data and details. For more NAHB economic data, you can go to:  www.housingeconomics.com